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small business · ~25 min

Should I bid this RFP? (small business)

Last verified: 2026-09-08Lumina seed `bid-or-no-bid-rfp-decision`

Not legal advice on solicitations. Paths are options—you own the bid call. No invented win themes.

Top picks

Best Overall

Claude

Holds labeled paths and paste-only rules without inventing numbers.

Open Claude

Best Free

ChatGPT Free

Fast scorecard + path labels from one pack.

Open ChatGPT

Best Power-User

Claude + second pass in ChatGPT

Tree in one; invented-fact / tone check in the other. Gemini is also solid. You own the call—AI only structures options.

Open Claude

Protocol

  1. Paste facts (5–8 min).

    Assemble only what you actually know. Mark gaps [MISSING] / [NEED FACT]. Do not invent rates, BATNA, legal outcomes, or benchmarks. This small-business go/no-go gate sits before rfp-section-from-evidence, which drafts a section after you decide to bid. No invented certifications, SOC 2, or win themes.

    Paths at a glance

    PathLean this way when (from your paste)
    A — BidFit strong, timeline doable, evidence you already have covers must-haves, pursuit cost acceptable.
    B — Bid if Q&A clarifies XFit possible but named gaps block an honest response—only continue if Q&A resolves your listed X.
    C — No-bid + polite declineWired, out-of-scope, unwinnable timeline, or missing mandatory proof you cannot obtain.
    D — Partner / subYou can cover a slice with a real partner as prime or sub—partner must be named or [MISSING partner].
  2. Lock decision-tree rules (step 2).

    Paste the rules first so the model cannot mint certifications, win themes, or a forced bid.

    Copy-paste prompt

    Help me run a BID / NO-BID RFP decision tree.
    Hard rules:
    - Use ONLY RFP facts and evidence I paste. Do not invent certifications, past performance, win themes, SOC 2, or competitor weaknesses.
    - Output FACTS vs [MISSING], scorecard, and 4 labeled paths—not a forced bid.
    - Paths: Path A Bid / Path B Bid if Q&A clarifies X / Path C No-bid + polite decline / Path D Partner/sub.
    - Optional decline or partner-intro wording ONLY after I choose a path.
    - Not legal advice on solicitation rules. I decide.
    Confirm in one sentence, then wait for my pack.
  3. Fill pack (step 3a) and generate (step 3b).

    Paste the pack, then send the generate command. The model must not pick a path for you.

    Paste pack

    RFP TITLE / BUYER (public): [ ]
    DUE DATE / PAGE LIMITS / FORMAT RULES: [ ]
    MANDATORY REQUIREMENTS (from RFP text): [ ]
    OUR FIT NOTES (capabilities we truly have): [ ]
    EVIDENCE WE ALREADY HAVE (case studies, certs—real only): [ ]
    EVIDENCE GAPS: [ ]
    WIN SIGNALS I ACTUALLY OBSERVED (incumbent, budget, relationships): [or NONE—do not invent]
    ESTIMATED PURSUIT HOURS / COST I ACCEPT: [or NEED FACT]
    PARTNERS I CAN ACTUALLY TEAM WITH: [or NONE]
    Q&A DEADLINE / QUESTIONS I WOULD ASK: [ ]

    After you send the filled pack, copy the Generate command in the next box and paste it into the SAME chat so the AI runs the decision tree / produces the output.

    Generate command — copy and send this next (same chat)

    Build the decision tree now:
    1) Facts vs [MISSING]
    2) Scorecard table: Criterion | My fact | Lean (+/0/− or NEED FACT) | Note
    3) Path A Bid / Path B Bid if Q&A clarifies X / Path C No-bid + polite decline / Path D Partner-sub — for each: when it fits, what must be true from my pack, 3 owner-verify bullets
    4) Do NOT pick for me. Do not invent facts.
  4. Choose a path (step 4); optional wording.

    Only after you pick a labeled path. Owner-verify: facts still match your pack; [MISSING] gaps filled or accepted; any sendable wording uses only terms you authorize.

    Path wording

    I chose Path [A/B/C/D]. Draft short path-specific wording only:
    - B: Q&A questions listing my real gaps X
    - C: polite no-bid note
    - D: partner/sub outreach using partners I named
    No invented capabilities. Mark [NEED FACT].
  5. Second-model check (step 5).

    In the other tool, paste the tree plus your pack:

    Second-model check

    Here is a bid/no-bid tree from another assistant plus my pack.
    Find: (1) invented certs/win themes, (2) forced Bid when gaps were [MISSING], (3) partner named I didn't provide, (4) hostile decline tone.
    Return only corrections.
  6. Human decide and act (step 6).

    Pick one path. Fill [NEED FACT] gaps from real sources. Send or implement yourself—AI drafts are not approvals, contracts, classifications, or tax elections. After Bid / conditional Bid clears, use the RFP-section how-to.

When not to

  • Do not invent past performance, certifications, or win probability %.
  • Procurement counsel owns protests, NDAs, and restricted solicitations.
  • Skip if you have not read the RFP must-haves—skim first.
  • Not a substitute for rfp-section-from-evidence after you decide to bid.

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